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Fibonacci Numbers
Have you ever heard of Leonardo Fibonacci?
No, he didn't paint the Mona Lisa. And he's not the guy behind the counter at Vinnie's Pizza.
Fibonacci was a well-known Italian mathematician who lived from around 1175-1250. He made great contributions to the world of mathematics, including introducing the decimal system to Europe.
He also studied a sequence of numbers that has since become known as the Fibonacci Numbers, or the Fibonacci Sequence.
The Fibonacci Sequence start with a 0 and a 1, and each new number is the sum of the two previous numbers (0 + 1 = 2, 1 + 2 = 3, 3 + 2 = 5). The first numbers in the sequence are as follows:
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144...and so forth into infinity.
Fibonacci found that these series of numbers and their ratios to one another were prevalent throughout nature and can in fact be seen all around you.
Ok, ok, so what does this have to do with forex trading?
Well, quite a bit in fact. You see the ratios that are found in the Fibonacci numbers can be seen in the price movement of currencies (as well as stocks and other investments).
Without boring you any further, I'll give you the big 3 numbers that you should remember: 0.382, 0.500, and 0.618. There are others, but these are the most significant.
These numbers are used to calculate "retracement levels", which are used by many traders to determine when to place buy and sell orders. Here's how it works:
Assume the price of a currency pair (or a company's stock for that matter) is trending upward. History shows us that prices tend to hit a peak, go into a temporary reversal, and then resume the trend. The reversal is where Fibonacci numbers come in.
The price of a currency that is trending can be expected to reverse back to one of the Fibonacci numbers and then bounce back to continue the trend. If you forecast this correctly you can buy in just before the upward trend continues and score big profits.
The online trading platform you use should be able to chart the Fibonacci numbers for you. You just draw a line from a low point to a high point, and the retracement levels are automatically mapped on the chart for you.
Of course, its not quite as simple as trading when the price hits a Fibonacci number. There are other things to consider:
You don't know which retracement level the price will stop at. If you choose .382 and it drops to .618 you could lose a ton of pips.
Similarly, if you choose the wrong low/high points, the retracement levels will be all out of whack.
And quite frankly, as accurate as they can be at times, sometimes Fibonacci numbers just don't work at all. There are many variables at play in the forex market. You can't rely solely on one method to predict price movement.
Recent Forex News
Technical Analysis
FX Technical Analysis
EURUSD Comment: Very slow work as the Euro tries to form an interim base against 50% Fibonacci retracement support. Momentum is neutral and very good futures volume on Tuesday's fall underlines the fact that consensus opinion is for a weaker Euro.
Forex Technical Analytics
The estimated test of key resistance range levels for implementation of short positions has not been confirmed, however, preserved low activity, suggests further rate range movement with no clear signs regarding planning priorities for today. Hence, we can assume probability of another test of close 1,0140/60 resistance levels, where it
Technical Analysis for Crosses
The pair soared yesterday affected by facing 88.6% of XA leg as we discussed earlier but it declined sharply again during the Asian session, where it is presently is very close to 88.6% once more. We are not sure if it intends to breach it to complete the suggested bullish
Daily Technical Analysis
The EURUSD slipped below my trend line support yesterday, but further bearish pressure was rejected and whipsawed to the upside, topped at 1.2762 and closed at 1.2720. The bias is neutral in nearest term but this fact force me to assume that the bullish correction remains intact. Immediate resistance at
Daily Technical Outlook
Former support around 1.2770 was tested and held, as I was expecting in my article yesterday, and downside pressure remains high. Euro's come back after the 1.2770 attempt was probably caused by ECB chief economist Juergen Stark who said that German banks need more capital. Support trend line coming from
Newsfeed display by CaRP
Fundamental Analysis
Morning Forex Overview
Renewed threats by Japan's Minister of Finance Yoshihiko Noda to take "decisive steps" to stop the rise in the yen failed to deter the market Thursday, but they at least stopped traders from pushing the currency to yet another 15-year high against the dollar.
Asian Market Update
Asian equity markets are trading mixed despite some modest gains in the US and EU bourses, even as the most heavily beaten down Nikkei225 is seeing some reprieve. Tokyo equities opened up by over 1.1% before paring some of those gains despite further escalation in intervention rhetoric by Japanese officials.
The Australian Economy Still Looks To Be Firing On All Cylinders
The CAD was in the spotlight overnight as the BOC hiked rates by 25bp to 1.0%, as expected, but held a slightly more hawkish tone in the accompanying statement than the market had been expecting. However, whilst saying that Canadian consumption and investment was expected to stay strong and that
Risk Aversion Subsides Briefly, Markets Consolidate!
The Dollar Traded weaker yesterday as risk aversion was in put on hold after concerns about the Euro zone faded on solid auction from some European Countries. US stocks also rallied as new stimulus proposals from Obama ahead of the US Mid-term elections were announced. In US the DJIA traded
BoE To Keep Both Interest Rate And APF Steady In September
BoE will release interest rate for the month of September where expectations are in favor of keeping both borrowing cost and APF quantity unchanged. The BoE has been keeping both interest rate at 0.50% and APF at 200 billion pounds recently despite the improvement witnessed recently. In the second quarter,
Newsfeed display by CaRP
Technical Analysis
FX Technical Analysis
EURUSD Comment: Very slow work as the Euro tries to form an interim base against 50% Fibonacci retracement support. Momentum is neutral and very good futures volume on Tuesday's fall underlines the fact that consensus opinion is for a weaker Euro.
Forex Technical Analytics
The estimated test of key resistance range levels for implementation of short positions has not been confirmed, however, preserved low activity, suggests further rate range movement with no clear signs regarding planning priorities for today. Hence, we can assume probability of another test of close 1,0140/60 resistance levels, where it
Technical Analysis for Crosses
The pair soared yesterday affected by facing 88.6% of XA leg as we discussed earlier but it declined sharply again during the Asian session, where it is presently is very close to 88.6% once more. We are not sure if it intends to breach it to complete the suggested bullish
Daily Technical Analysis
The EURUSD slipped below my trend line support yesterday, but further bearish pressure was rejected and whipsawed to the upside, topped at 1.2762 and closed at 1.2720. The bias is neutral in nearest term but this fact force me to assume that the bullish correction remains intact. Immediate resistance at
Daily Technical Outlook
Former support around 1.2770 was tested and held, as I was expecting in my article yesterday, and downside pressure remains high. Euro's come back after the 1.2770 attempt was probably caused by ECB chief economist Juergen Stark who said that German banks need more capital. Support trend line coming from
Newsfeed display by CaRP
Fundamental Analysis
Morning Forex Overview
Renewed threats by Japan's Minister of Finance Yoshihiko Noda to take "decisive steps" to stop the rise in the yen failed to deter the market Thursday, but they at least stopped traders from pushing the currency to yet another 15-year high against the dollar.
Asian Market Update
Asian equity markets are trading mixed despite some modest gains in the US and EU bourses, even as the most heavily beaten down Nikkei225 is seeing some reprieve. Tokyo equities opened up by over 1.1% before paring some of those gains despite further escalation in intervention rhetoric by Japanese officials.
The Australian Economy Still Looks To Be Firing On All Cylinders
The CAD was in the spotlight overnight as the BOC hiked rates by 25bp to 1.0%, as expected, but held a slightly more hawkish tone in the accompanying statement than the market had been expecting. However, whilst saying that Canadian consumption and investment was expected to stay strong and that
Risk Aversion Subsides Briefly, Markets Consolidate!
The Dollar Traded weaker yesterday as risk aversion was in put on hold after concerns about the Euro zone faded on solid auction from some European Countries. US stocks also rallied as new stimulus proposals from Obama ahead of the US Mid-term elections were announced. In US the DJIA traded
BoE To Keep Both Interest Rate And APF Steady In September
BoE will release interest rate for the month of September where expectations are in favor of keeping both borrowing cost and APF quantity unchanged. The BoE has been keeping both interest rate at 0.50% and APF at 200 billion pounds recently despite the improvement witnessed recently. In the second quarter,
Newsfeed display by CaRP